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2007-07-20

Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 39.3% 60.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% - โœ—
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 โœ— (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—

Actual: New York Liberty -6 (74-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Thompson * 40 7-17 2-5 10-10 6 3 2 0 4 26 16 -
Michelle Snow * 30 1-6 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 1 5 5 2 -
Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * 26 4-6 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 0 2 10 9 -
Crystal Smith * 25 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 1 3 9 -
Sancho Lyttle * 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 6 9 -
Tamecka Dixon 28 7-13 1-2 5-5 3 2 3 0 0 20 15 -
Erin Grant 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 4 0 0 1 4 6 -
Mistie Bass 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Ashley Shields 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Barbara Turner 5 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Roneeka Hodges 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Loree Moore * 37 3-9 1-5 0-0 1 4 4 0 4 7 3 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld * 34 12-23 5-11 2-2 2 1 2 1 4 31 10 -
Shameka Christon * 32 3-7 0-2 3-4 6 3 1 2 4 9 10 -
Erin Thorn * 29 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 8 6 -
Janel McCarville * 29 2-8 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 2 2 4 10 -
Ashley Battle 21 4-8 0-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 8 9 -
Tiffany Jackson 8 2-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Barbara Farris 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jessica Davenport 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter