Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -6 (74-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 40 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Crystal Smith * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 28 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Erin Grant | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ashley Shields | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Barbara Turner | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loree Moore * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld * | 34 | 12-23 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 10 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Erin Thorn * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Ashley Battle | 21 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter