Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -4 (87-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 40 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Nikki Blue | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Coco Miller | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tamara James | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Bernice Mosby | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gillian Goring | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus * | 34 | 12-19 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 15 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 34 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tiffany Stansbury * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kristen Mann | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Kathrin Ress | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Raymond | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Navonda Moore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter