Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -9 (80-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deanna Nolan * | 40 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 36 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 10-10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Johnson | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Katie Mattera | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Whitmore * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Sheri Sam | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tan White | 24 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter