Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -2 (61-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 35 | 10-15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Camille Smith | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shanna Zolman | 9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Spencer * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Marta Fernandez * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Moore * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Christi Thomas | 22 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Sherill Baker | 16 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Murriel Page | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tye'sha Fluker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter