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2007-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +0.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -4 (78-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Sales 39 7-18 0-1 9-10 4 5 1 1 2 23 14 -
L. Whalen 39 9-10 0-1 4-5 5 8 1 0 5 22 21 -
K. Douglas 38 4-12 1-6 5-10 5 1 1 1 4 14 6 -
M. Dydek 30 5-10 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 6 2 10 16 -
L. Willingham 28 2-4 0-0 3-4 7 1 1 1 1 7 12 -
E. Maltsi 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 0 1 -
E. de Souza 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Rasmussen 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Carey 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Penicheiro 33 1-5 0-0 1-2 3 5 2 0 3 3 5 -
N. Powell 29 6-16 0-3 3-3 7 2 0 0 2 15 6 -
A. Williams-Strong 24 6-11 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 1 15 10 -
C. Newton 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
S. Dorrell 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
R. Brunson 21 2-7 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 2 5 4 -
K. Lawson 18 4-13 1-4 3-3 2 1 2 0 2 12 2 -
Y. Griffith 18 4-8 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 3 9 3 -
L. Atkinson 14 1-2 0-0 4-6 2 3 0 1 2 6 8 -
K. Haynie 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter