Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +8 (91-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus * | 36 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Stansbury * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kristen Mann | 37 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kathrin Ress | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tamika Raymond | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 40 | 2-15 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 39 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 38 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Nikki Blue | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tamara James | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Bernice Mosby | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter