Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +8 (92-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 37 | 8-26 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | - |
| Chasity Melvin * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 25 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Cathy Joens | 21 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Carla Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Liz Moeggenberg | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deanna Nolan * | 40 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 37 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Shannon Johnson | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Katie Mattera | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter