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2007-07-08

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: New York Liberty +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 30 3-12 1-6 4-4 7 0 1 0 2 11 5 -
R. Brunson 27 7-16 0-0 4-11 9 0 2 1 2 18 12 -
T. Penicheiro 23 0-5 0-0 1-2 5 7 3 0 1 1 10 -
C. Newton 22 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Y. Griffith 17 3-7 0-0 1-3 6 1 2 2 1 7 10 -
K. Lawson 15 2-9 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 -2 -
S. Dorrell 15 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
A. Williams-Strong 15 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 8 8 -
K. Haynie 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
L. Atkinson 6 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 2 1 0 2 4 4 -
L. Frohlich 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Thorn 32 5-9 2-4 1-2 7 5 0 1 3 13 14 -
L. Moore 32 4-7 1-2 3-6 1 6 2 0 4 12 10 -
S. Christon 32 3-11 0-4 4-5 7 2 0 1 4 10 5 -
J. McCarville 29 3-5 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 1 2 9 10 -
C. Kraayeveld 28 5-9 2-4 1-2 8 1 1 1 2 13 13 -
T. Jackson-Jones 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
A. Battle 9 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 6 6 -
B. Farris 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Willis 5 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
J. Davenport 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter