Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✓ (26.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Shock +29 (111-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 32 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 2-12 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 28 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| K. Miller | 25 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 15 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Snell | 11 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| O. Scott | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 31 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| K. Smith | 30 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| S. Johnson | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| S. Cash | 24 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Ford | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | - |
| P. Pierson | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | - |
| I. Latta | 19 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| E. Powell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Tillis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Braxton | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter