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2007-07-08

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 (26.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: Detroit Shock +29 (111-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 32 7-12 0-2 2-4 6 0 0 1 1 16 10 -
D. Taurasi 28 2-12 1-9 0-0 3 3 6 0 1 5 4 -
C. Pondexter 28 5-15 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 10 0 -
K. Miller 25 4-10 1-5 2-2 4 4 1 0 2 11 8 -
P. Taylor 24 5-8 0-0 4-5 3 2 2 0 1 14 12 -
K. Mazzante 15 2-8 2-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 2 -
K. Schumacher 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 0 1 -
B. Snell 11 5-9 5-9 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 15 9 -
J. Derevjanik 10 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 5 0 0 0 4 7 -
O. Scott 6 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -
J. Lacy 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 31 5-11 3-6 5-6 3 4 1 1 2 18 14 -
K. Smith 30 5-10 4-7 6-6 1 3 0 0 0 20 14 -
S. Johnson 25 4-7 2-4 4-4 5 8 0 0 1 14 19 -
S. Cash 24 6-14 0-0 2-2 10 2 1 0 2 14 11 -
C. Ford 22 3-7 0-0 1-7 10 3 1 2 5 7 11 -
P. Pierson 21 5-10 0-0 3-4 14 1 0 1 5 13 14 -
I. Latta 19 5-6 3-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 13 12 -
E. Powell 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
I. Tillis 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
K. Feenstra 7 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
K. Braxton 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter