Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.1% | 28.9% | -4.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -21 (89-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 36 | 11-18 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| L. Whalen | 35 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| E. Maltsi | 32 | 9-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| A. Jones | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| M. Dydek | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. de Souza | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Carey | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Spencer | 31 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Fernandez | 28 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Baker | 24 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Page | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Thomas | 19 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Brown | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Moore | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Fluker | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Mabika | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter