Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +2 (111-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones | 41 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 13 | - |
| K. Douglas | 39 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 3 | - |
| N. Sales | 39 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 38 | 6-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| L. Whalen | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Carey | 18 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Willingham | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Maltsi | 12 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. de Souza | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 43 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 43 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 39 | 11-23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | - |
| K. Miller | 34 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 20 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Snell | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter