Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -16 (79-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 19 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 21 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Miller | 17 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 15 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| B. Snell | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Augustus | 30 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| L. Harding | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 25 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Stansbury | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Mann | 21 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 18 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| S. Murphy | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Ress | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 12 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Quinn | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Raymond | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter