Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +31 (84-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shameka Christon * | 36 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Loree Moore * | 34 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ashley Battle * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Lisa Willis | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lindsay Bowen | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shay Doron | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 30 | 9-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 25 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Janell Burse * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 21 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 16 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Tanisha Wright | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Katie Gearlds | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter