Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +8 (76-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristen Mann * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 35 | 9-19 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tiffany Stansbury | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kathrin Ress | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 27 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Chelsea Newton * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| La'Tangela Atkinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter