๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2007-07-01 ยท Final/OT ยท Shot chart

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Margin 37.6% 62.4% - โœ—
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -3 (71-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jia Perkins * 44 5-13 2-4 3-4 8 5 3 2 4 15 16 -
Candice Dupree * 42 9-21 0-1 6-7 11 1 0 1 6 24 10 -
Chasity Melvin * 38 4-7 0-0 4-9 7 2 4 0 1 12 17 -
Armintie Herrington * 36 3-7 0-0 3-9 10 6 5 0 2 9 21 -
Stacey Dales * 19 3-9 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 -2 -
Brooke Wyckoff 27 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 6 4 -
Kayte Christensen 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 3 2 2 -
Claire Coggins 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Stephanie Raymond 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Marta Fernandez * 37 5-14 0-1 2-2 3 3 2 1 4 12 3 -
Sidney Spencer * 31 2-8 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Jessica Moore * 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 4 7 -
Temeka Johnson * 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 3 2 1 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 11 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
Christi Thomas 34 7-14 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 1 1 14 11 -
Murriel Page 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
Kiesha Brown 19 3-7 1-2 4-4 4 4 1 0 4 11 9 -
LaToya Thomas 13 3-9 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 7 1 -
Mwadi Mabika 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
Sherill Baker 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter