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2007-03-10

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 89.8% 10.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 59.2% 40.8% -2.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cummard * 35 6-12 1-3 0-1 13 3 1 0 1 13 17 -
T. Plaisted * 34 3-9 0-0 1-5 3 2 0 0 2 7 1 -
A. Ainge * 34 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 10 0 0 3 3 9 -
K. Young * 34 13-18 0-0 8-11 9 0 0 0 3 34 22 -
J. Balderson * 19 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
M. Rose 24 3-5 3-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 9 4 -
J. Tavernari 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
B. Murdock 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Burgess 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kruger * 37 2-11 1-7 5-5 2 1 4 0 1 10 5 -
W. Adams * 32 5-13 3-7 2-3 1 3 0 0 0 15 6 -
M. Umeh * 31 5-9 3-5 5-7 7 1 0 0 0 18 17 -
W. White * 23 4-10 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
G. Essengue * 22 4-8 0-0 2-2 7 0 3 1 2 10 11 -
J. Anthony 18 3-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
C. Terry 15 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
J. Darger 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
R. Rougeau 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 -
M. Lawrence 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter