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2007-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% -
Log Adjusted 12.4% 87.6% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +12 (53-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McBride * 34 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 5 -
W. Carter * 31 6-12 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 2 5 14 4 -
C. Frazier * 30 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 5 2 0 0 0 4 -
S. Pruitt * 29 3-6 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 0 1 9 7 -
B. Randle * 29 0-5 0-0 3-5 7 0 3 0 3 3 5 -
C. Brock 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
T. Meacham 15 0-4 0-2 4-4 3 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
M. Arnold 12 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Hicks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Flowers * 35 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 0 1 -
K. Taylor * 33 6-12 2-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 16 4 -
M. Landry * 32 3-8 1-5 1-3 4 3 3 2 0 8 12 -
A. Tucker * 31 10-17 0-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 21 8 -
J. Chappell * 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. Krabbenhoft 27 2-5 1-1 1-2 6 3 3 0 1 6 12 -
G. Stiemsma 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 0 4 -
T. Hughes 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Bohannon 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Gullikson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bronson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter