Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts -11 (56-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.