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2007-03-10

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% -
Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% -
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -8 (64-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Grant * 39 4-9 1-2 11-11 5 3 0 0 4 20 15 -
B. McCauley * 37 2-4 0-0 4-4 4 3 3 3 5 8 12 -
B. Costner * 33 3-6 0-1 4-6 4 3 0 0 2 10 9 -
E. Atsur * 29 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 3 -1 -
C. Fells * 26 6-9 2-4 2-4 6 0 2 0 1 16 14 -
B. Nieman 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
D. Horner 14 2-3 1-1 3-3 2 1 0 1 1 8 8 -
T. Ferguson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Clark 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Dowdell * 37 6-19 0-2 3-4 4 1 2 0 4 15 -1 -
J. Gordon * 36 5-11 0-0 2-5 11 4 3 1 1 12 19 -
A. Green * 25 2-3 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
D. Washington * 21 4-8 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
A.D. Vassallo 36 5-11 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 12 8 -
M. Sailes 17 0-2 0-0 1-6 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
C. Diakite 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 -
L. Witcher 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
N. Munson 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter