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2007-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.9% 87.1% - โœ“
Margin 4.7% 95.3% +16.6 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Tigers +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Lafayette * 40 8-10 3-5 4-6 5 2 1 0 2 23 19 -
J. Thorpe * 39 4-7 3-6 4-6 5 1 1 1 1 15 15 -
R. McKiver * 35 2-10 0-3 3-6 5 1 0 0 3 7 0 -
M. Malone * 31 3-10 0-3 0-1 2 0 2 0 4 6 -4 -
D. Dowell * 31 1-5 1-4 5-6 7 1 0 3 0 8 14 -
R. Lee 9 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
C. Jones 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Toney 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Mosley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dorsey * 36 2-5 0-0 5-11 13 0 2 1 2 9 18 -
C. Douglas-Roberts * 35 6-11 1-2 4-5 0 2 2 1 4 17 7 -
R. Dozier * 28 3-5 1-2 1-5 10 1 0 1 2 8 13 -
A. Anderson * 27 6-8 1-2 4-6 5 5 0 0 1 17 18 -
W. Kemp * 23 4-7 2-4 0-2 2 2 0 0 1 10 6 -
J. Hunt 17 1-6 0-2 0-2 3 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
A. Allen 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 1 -
D. Mack 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
K. Cooper 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Henderson-Niles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter