Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dudley * | 39 | 7-18 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| T. Rice * | 39 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Marshall * | 36 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 9 | - |
| J. Oates * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Roche * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Blair | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Spears | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Haynes | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Kaba | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Neville | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Lawson * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Wright * | 30 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| R. Terry * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| W. Ellington * | 22 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Thompson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Frasor | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter