Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lewis * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 13 | - |
| S. Gilling * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Creason * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| T. Denson * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 22 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| X. Kilby | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| F. Robinson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Surratt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kruger * | 35 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| W. Adams * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| M. Umeh * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| W. White * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| G. Essengue * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Anthony | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - |
| J. Darger | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Terry | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| C. Bailey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Shaw | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter