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2007-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% -
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% -
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lewis * 37 5-12 0-1 3-5 4 0 3 0 5 13 3 -
J. Smith * 37 4-12 0-0 8-8 11 5 0 0 7 16 13 -
S. Gilling * 32 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
S. Creason * 25 4-6 0-0 6-7 6 1 0 0 0 14 15 -
T. Denson * 23 4-8 1-1 4-6 3 1 1 0 2 13 8 -
T. Smith 22 4-6 3-3 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
X. Kilby 16 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
F. Robinson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Surratt 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kruger * 35 7-10 5-7 2-3 1 9 1 0 3 21 19 -
W. Adams * 34 6-12 3-7 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 18 10 -
M. Umeh * 25 5-8 3-3 2-2 4 5 0 0 0 15 16 -
W. White * 19 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 3 2 0 0 5 9 -
G. Essengue * 17 4-5 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
J. Anthony 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 8 1 4 17 -
J. Darger 18 2-4 2-4 3-3 4 1 1 0 1 9 10 -
C. Terry 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -3 -
C. Bailey 7 0-1 0-0 2-6 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Lawrence 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 0 0 -
R. Rougeau 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Shaw 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter