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2007-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 84.9% 15.1% -
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% -
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% -
Log Adjusted 67.8% 32.2% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -19 (55-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Landry * 38 6-11 1-1 7-11 11 2 2 4 4 20 24 -
C. Kramer * 32 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 6 6 -
G. Watt * 28 2-9 0-0 1-3 4 3 1 0 1 5 3 -
D. Teague * 26 4-10 2-3 5-6 8 1 0 0 4 15 10 -
K. Grant * 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
M. Green 20 4-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 2 1 9 10 -
T. Crump 20 5-6 0-1 3-4 1 1 0 0 3 13 6 -
C. Lutz 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 3 6 -
C. Hartley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A.J. Graft 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Uchendu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Riddell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith * 37 8-14 0-1 1-4 7 1 1 2 6 17 8 -
A. Haluska * 35 4-16 1-5 5-7 6 3 1 0 1 14 7 -
T. Freeman * 33 3-9 0-3 5-7 4 3 2 1 0 11 12 -
K. Looby * 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 5 3 4 9 -
C. Tate * 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 1 5 -
J. Johnson 21 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 1 2 2 1 -
M. Henderson 18 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 -
S. Gorney 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -
J.R. Angle 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Wessels 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bohall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Crawford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter