Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (84-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morris * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 13-18 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 33 | - |
| J. Crawford * | 34 | 8-21 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 4 | - |
| R. Bradley * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -4 | - |
| D. Jasper * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Meeks | 41 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B. Perry | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Thomas | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon * | 42 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 23 | - |
| D. Slater * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Delk * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Delk * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Rhodes * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 30 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| B. Stewart | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Varnado | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter