🐻⬇️🏀

@
2007-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 55.0% 45.0% -
Bradley-Terry 62.0% 38.0% -
Margin 61.0% 39.0% -2.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% -
Log Adjusted 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (84-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morris * 37 8-15 0-0 13-18 15 2 2 3 3 29 33 -
J. Crawford * 34 8-21 1-5 3-5 3 1 0 1 0 20 4 -
R. Bradley * 31 1-8 1-5 0-0 2 3 1 1 6 3 -4 -
D. Jasper * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Meeks 41 4-14 1-6 5-5 8 3 6 0 1 14 16 -
B. Perry 30 1-5 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
S. Thomas 29 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
P. Stevenson 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 6 -
L. Obrzut 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon * 42 9-16 1-1 7-10 11 4 3 0 5 26 23 -
D. Slater * 28 5-9 0-1 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 13 10 -
R. Delk * 26 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 5 4 -
R. Delk * 24 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 4 0 -
C. Rhodes * 24 4-10 0-0 7-8 7 0 1 3 3 15 13 -
B. Hansbrough 30 4-9 2-6 2-3 2 1 0 0 1 12 5 -
B. Stewart 29 2-7 1-5 2-5 2 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
V. Goodridge 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Varnado 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
P. Stelmach 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter