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2007-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% -
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% -
Margin 53.6% 46.4% -0.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% -
Log Adjusted 31.4% 68.6% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel * 39 3-13 2-7 2-2 2 8 1 0 0 10 8 -
T. Walton * 38 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 7 1 0 1 3 10 -
R. Morgan * 24 5-10 0-0 1-3 0 0 0 0 3 11 -2 -
M. Gray * 22 4-8 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 1 1 9 9 -
D. Naymick * 20 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 8 7 -
G. Suton 34 7-11 0-0 0-2 8 2 0 1 4 14 10 -
M. Joseph 14 1-6 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -3 -
I. Ibok 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
I. Dahlman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Curry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Ducre 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor * 39 5-10 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 11 7 -
A. Tucker * 39 5-14 4-8 7-10 6 4 2 0 1 21 18 -
M. Flowers * 31 3-4 2-3 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 8 13 -
M. Landry * 25 3-4 0-1 3-8 4 1 0 0 2 9 8 -
J. Chappell * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
J. Krabbenhoft 17 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
G. Stiemsma 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 4 2 6 8 -
T. Hughes 10 0-1 0-1 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Bohannon 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Gullikson 3 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Bronson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cain 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter