Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -8 (71-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. McCauley * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| B. Costner * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 37 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| G. Grant * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 12 | - |
| C. Fells * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Nieman | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Horner | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 34 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 10-12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| M. Diane * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds * | 31 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| J. Cain * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Joseph | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| W. Harris | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Tucker | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Pettinella | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Tat | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter