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2007-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 47.1% 52.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% -
Log Adjusted 6.4% 93.6% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jerrells * 34 5-15 3-9 6-7 9 2 2 0 4 19 13 -
A. Bruce * 31 4-7 3-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 4 12 6 -
M. Diene * 30 5-10 0-0 4-6 12 0 1 2 1 14 18 -
T. Carter * 28 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 0 -1 -
K. Rogers * 19 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
H. Dugat 29 4-11 2-5 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 12 6 -
M. Shepherd 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 2 5 -
J. Lomers 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Durant * 40 8-24 2-7 11-13 13 1 4 3 3 29 23 -
D.J. Augustin * 38 2-11 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 0 6 2 -
A.J. Abrams * 36 6-13 2-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 16 5 -
J. Mason * 30 0-4 0-2 3-4 7 2 1 0 2 3 7 -
D. James * 25 3-7 0-0 2-5 11 0 0 3 1 8 14 -
C. Atchley 15 1-2 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 2 2 4 6 -
C. Winder 12 4-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 3 0 0 8 9 -
M. Hill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

* = starter