Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +21 (72-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Binnie * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Roberts * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 5 | - |
| C. Little * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Huelsman * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Plummer | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Warren | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cage * | 33 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Lavender * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| S. Burrell * | 31 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Doellman * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| B. Cole * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Duncan | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Brown | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wolf | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Love | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Waymire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter