Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +8 (100-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Esparza * | 46 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Brown * | 40 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| R. Vezia * | 39 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. White * | 36 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| S. Horsechief * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 31 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Pemberton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Morgan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Raffety | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Brown * | 48 | 11-23 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 12 | - |
| S. Cutley * | 37 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-9 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | - |
| R. Reed * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| F. Robinson * | 36 | 10-16 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 21 | - |
| J. Burns * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Crenshaw | 28 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Morgan | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Green | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Alexander | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter