Model Predictions
| Model | Rice Owls | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights -2 (51-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Williams * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Almond * | 36 | 10-20 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 13 | - |
| A. Perka * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Foster * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Packevicius * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| P. Britton | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 21 | - |
| C. Hagan | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Pflieger | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Belton | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Peppers * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| L. Payne * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. O'Donnell * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| D. Noel * | 30 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Zondervan * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jj Taylor | 25 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| S. Billings | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Cartwright | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter