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2007-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Golden Eagles Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Cougars +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Beasley * 39 4-9 0-0 0-3 7 1 0 0 3 8 4 -
S. Stone * 30 3-5 0-0 4-6 8 1 0 0 3 10 11 -
G. Bain * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Green * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Wise 37 6-17 1-4 3-4 9 4 1 1 10 16 4 -
J. Hill 33 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 5 0 -
C. Craft 20 4-10 0-3 1-1 5 0 1 0 1 9 4 -
A. Stephens 20 2-4 0-0 5-7 7 1 2 1 0 9 16 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Lafayette * 38 0-7 0-4 3-6 5 5 1 1 0 3 8 -
R. McKiver * 36 10-19 5-9 3-4 3 2 0 0 3 28 11 -
J. Thorpe * 27 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 0 -2 -
C. Jones * 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Toney * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
M. Malone 31 6-16 3-10 5-8 2 1 4 1 2 20 10 -
R. Lee 27 3-6 0-1 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
N. Mosley 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 2 6 -
D. Dowell 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -

* = starter