Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +7 (77-70). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McDowell * | 35 | 9-23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Jerome Richardson * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Keith Smith * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Chad McKenzie * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Drew Washington * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Harry Disy | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Elliot | 23 | 7-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Terry Parker Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adrian Rogers | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Gibson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Hawkins * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| E. Ingram * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Nelson * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Hatila Passos * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ted Knauber * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shaun Davis | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Martin Iti | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| David Fisher | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Fred Peete | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Gibson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Londale Theus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tray Britt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trei Steward | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter