Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -5 (80-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Costner * | 43 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 22 | - |
| G. Grant * | 41 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 39 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| B. McCauley * | 35 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| C. Fells * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Nieman | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Horner | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Clark | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer * | 43 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 42 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| D. Nelson * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D. McClure * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Thomas | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Pocius | 17 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter