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2007-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% -
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% -
Margin 70.5% 29.5% -4.8 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers -14 (83-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jerrells * 33 12-17 3-4 4-5 7 3 0 0 2 31 22 -
A. Bruce * 31 4-6 2-3 3-4 2 2 1 0 3 13 9 -
T. Carter * 29 3-8 1-3 2-3 2 2 3 0 1 9 7 -
K. Rogers * 27 4-8 0-0 4-6 5 1 1 0 2 12 9 -
M. Diene * 25 0-0 0-0 3-8 7 0 1 0 1 3 10 -
H. Dugat 27 9-11 3-4 4-6 3 5 2 0 6 25 18 -
M. Shepherd 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
J. Lomers 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Vanttaja 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Bush 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Hurd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hannah * 33 3-10 1-3 4-4 6 2 1 0 4 11 6 -
K. Lawrence * 32 4-10 2-4 2-2 3 2 0 1 3 12 5 -
M. Lawrence * 27 5-12 3-9 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 13 5 -
M. Brown * 21 2-8 0-1 1-2 5 4 1 0 1 5 6 -
K. Grimes * 13 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
L. Lyons 17 6-6 0-0 1-3 3 3 0 1 3 13 11 -
D. Butterfield 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
J.T. Tiller 16 1-3 1-2 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 4 3 -
J. Horton 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. Watkins 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
V. Volkus 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Dandridge 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter