Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Doyle * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Coble * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Moore * | 30 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| I. Tolic * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Williams * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Ryan | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Carson | 23 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Okrzesik | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Nash | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 40 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| T. Walton * | 35 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Morgan * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Gray * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Suton | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 18 | - |
| M. Joseph | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter