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2007-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 58.3% 41.7% -
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% -
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.1% 70.9% -
Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Log Adjusted 9.2% 90.8% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gee * 37 6-11 0-1 3-6 5 1 2 1 2 15 11 -
M. Riley * 37 4-9 4-7 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 12 7 -
J. Davidson * 34 5-13 0-0 2-2 7 3 0 0 1 12 8 -
R. Hendrix * 31 5-9 1-1 10-15 7 1 2 1 2 21 21 -
B. Hollinger * 22 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 3 3 2 -
D. Jemison 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 2 4 -
R. Steele 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Torrance 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Tubbs 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bradley * 37 5-12 3-9 4-4 1 1 0 0 2 17 5 -
J. Crawford * 32 7-15 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 16 4 -
R. Morris * 27 8-10 0-0 1-2 11 0 2 1 2 17 19 -
D. Jasper * 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 3 6 -
J. Meeks 24 4-6 2-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 1 12 14 -
B. Perry 24 4-10 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 10 6 -
S. Thomas 20 1-2 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 3 6 -
P. Stevenson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
L. Obrzut 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter