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2007-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Georgetown Hoyas Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Margin 24.6% 75.4% +6.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“

Actual: Georgetown Hoyas +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Reynolds * 40 4-14 1-7 2-4 4 4 1 0 1 11 5 -
C. Sumpter * 39 6-16 2-8 4-8 6 1 0 2 3 18 8 -
W. Sheridan * 37 2-2 0-0 6-6 9 1 2 2 1 10 21 -
R. Redding * 31 4-6 2-4 1-1 5 0 0 0 2 11 8 -
D. Cunningham * 22 3-11 0-0 1-1 2 0 2 1 0 7 1 -
S. Clark 23 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Nardi 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wallace * 35 3-6 3-5 1-2 4 5 0 0 2 10 11 -
J. Sapp * 34 3-10 0-5 2-4 4 6 1 0 1 8 8 -
J. Green * 31 5-14 0-4 2-2 9 1 0 1 3 12 6 -
D. Summers * 29 3-8 3-7 1-3 4 0 1 1 0 10 8 -
R. Hibbert * 28 6-9 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 2 0 14 12 -
P. Ewing Jr. 21 0-1 0-1 1-2 4 3 2 2 1 1 10 -
J. Rivers 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
V. Macklin 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Crawford 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter