Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Creason * | 39 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| C. Lewis * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Gilling * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Denson * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| X. Kilby | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| F. Robinson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams * | 38 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| N. LeSure * | 37 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| J. Habel * | 36 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Abukar * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| L. Wade * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| K. Spain | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Lamb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter