Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Michigan Eagles +3 (51-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Newell * | 38 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| J. Mills * | 38 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -3 | - |
| P. Stovall * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Rollin * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Redden * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Horton | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Perryman | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Ames | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Peyton | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Cook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bunkley * | 37 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| T. Lewis * | 34 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| J. Axon * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | - |
| J. Dobbins * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| B. Bowdry * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Dumes | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Cashen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Matthews | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Knaub | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Gay | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter