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2007-03-07

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 90.2% 9.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 56.2% 43.8% -1.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% -
Efficiency 67.4% 32.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% -
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien * 38 3-14 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 1 2 6 5 -
J. Dyson * 37 8-21 2-7 3-3 4 4 5 0 4 21 9 -
A.J. Price * 31 4-11 0-4 3-5 6 7 1 0 2 11 12 -
M. Johnson * 22 4-7 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 3 1 8 5 -
H. Thabeet * 20 1-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 1 3 3 -
C. Kelly 17 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 1 0 7 8 -
D. Wiggins 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 6 1 -
C. Austrie 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Robinson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 0 5 -
G. Edwards 7 1-2 0-0 1-1 7 1 0 1 0 3 10 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Devendorf * 40 9-16 0-1 1-2 2 4 0 1 3 19 7 -
D. Nichols * 38 8-17 7-11 5-8 5 3 0 1 3 28 17 -
D. Watkins * 36 2-10 0-0 4-7 10 1 1 3 3 8 10 -
A. Rautins * 32 2-9 2-8 1-2 3 2 2 1 4 7 2 -
T. Roberts * 28 4-7 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 1 1 9 10 -
P. Harris 17 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 4 2 0 4 6 9 -
J. Wright 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 4 -
M. Gorman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter