Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rundles | 34 | 3-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| B. Ellis | 33 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Strait | 33 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 32 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Chavez | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Martin | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Swift | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Sharp | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Mayes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Boykin Jr. | 35 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Wilson | 33 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Sir | 31 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Bazy | 27 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | - |
| K. Landry | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| N. Larson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Green | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Geiser | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter