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George Mason Patriots 59
@
VCU Rams 65
2007-03-05

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% - ✓
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 ✓ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 26.8% 73.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% - ✓

Actual: VCU Rams +6 (65-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Campbell * 38 3-11 0-4 2-2 1 4 2 0 4 8 0 -
W. Thomas * 37 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 0 2 10 12 -
D. Smith * 30 5-13 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 12 2 -
D. Monroe * 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 6 9 -
J. Carter * 23 2-2 1-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 6 7 -
G. Norwood 25 4-7 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 2 4 10 8 -
J. Vaughan 13 3-8 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 -1 -
L. Birdsong 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Maynor * 37 6-16 1-3 7-9 7 4 3 0 2 20 16 -
W. Fameni * 37 6-7 0-0 1-2 8 2 2 2 4 13 16 -
J. Pellot-Rosa * 34 3-10 0-7 0-0 4 3 2 2 2 6 5 -
B.A. Walker * 29 2-4 0-1 6-6 2 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
M. Anderson * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Roland 21 5-6 0-0 2-5 3 0 0 1 1 12 9 -
J. Shuler 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 2 1 -
F. Ndongo 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T.J. Gwynn 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Coward 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter