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2007-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% -
Bradley-Terry 11.0% 89.0% -
Margin 2.9% 97.1% +19.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% -
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Angley * 34 2-11 1-5 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 6 -2 -
S. Dougherty * 33 5-10 3-7 3-4 3 2 1 0 2 16 10 -
S. Denison * 31 4-7 0-0 2-4 5 2 1 0 2 10 9 -
D. Pariseau * 30 1-8 0-3 0-0 5 5 1 0 2 2 3 -
J. Bryant * 28 3-9 0-0 7-9 6 1 0 3 1 13 13 -
M. Henke 18 3-7 1-3 1-1 10 1 0 0 1 8 11 -
J. Kaempf 17 4-8 4-7 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
T. Parham 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Rohe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 40 8-12 2-4 10-10 2 4 3 0 2 28 23 -
J. Pargo * 39 3-8 0-2 3-5 2 3 1 0 2 9 5 -
M. Bouldin * 24 5-9 1-1 3-4 5 1 0 0 0 14 11 -
S. Mallon * 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Kuso * 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 0 5 -
D. Pendergraft 28 4-6 2-4 2-5 7 2 3 0 1 12 17 -
M. Downs 24 4-14 1-6 3-8 10 2 0 2 0 12 12 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter