Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +4.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +15 (64-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.