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2007-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 83.8% 16.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 53.7% 46.3% -0.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jefferson 0 1-9 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
A. DeHaan 0 7-14 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 0 0 16 8 -
M. Johnson 0 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
V. Lucas-Perry 0 6-11 4-6 4-5 5 0 0 0 0 20 14 -
R. Haynes 0 4-8 1-4 4-5 4 0 0 0 0 13 9 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wisdom-Hylton 0 5-11 0-0 2-2 12 0 0 0 0 12 13 -
F. Malone 0 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Howell 0 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
K. Gearlds 0 7-15 3-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 17 5 -
E. Lawless 0 4-12 1-3 9-13 7 0 0 0 0 18 13 -

* = starter