Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +24 (91-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hollinger | 35 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Riley | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Gee | 33 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Davidson | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Tubbs | 19 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Torrance | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Jemison | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 33 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 19 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Delk | 26 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D. Slater | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 23 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| B. Stewart | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Delk | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Varnado | 10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Begley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Iupe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter