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2007-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 70.7% 29.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 32.2% 67.8% +4.1 (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 27.4% 72.6% -
Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.1% 87.9% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +24 (91-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hollinger 35 4-9 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 11 5 -
M. Riley 34 2-6 1-2 2-2 10 2 0 1 4 7 10 -
A. Gee 33 4-12 0-2 5-6 5 1 2 1 2 13 8 -
J. Davidson 30 5-12 0-0 6-8 5 1 0 1 2 16 9 -
R. Hendrix 20 5-7 0-0 0-2 5 2 1 3 2 10 12 -
J. Tubbs 19 3-6 3-5 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
M. Torrance 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 0 -2 -
D. Jemison 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
Y. Coleman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon 33 2-5 2-3 5-6 5 9 1 1 3 11 19 -
C. Rhodes 28 9-13 0-0 0-1 7 3 0 4 3 18 16 -
R. Delk 26 7-13 1-6 1-1 1 1 1 1 1 16 6 -
D. Slater 25 3-8 2-4 2-2 4 2 3 1 3 10 9 -
B. Hansbrough 23 5-9 3-7 0-1 4 5 4 0 2 13 15 -
B. Stewart 22 2-6 1-4 3-3 2 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
R. Delk 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 3 0 3 5 -
J. Varnado 10 5-6 0-0 0-2 8 0 1 2 0 10 15 -
P. Stelmach 7 1-5 0-2 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 -
V. Goodridge 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
B. Begley 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Iupe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Rimmer 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter