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2007-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Log Adjusted 19.4% 80.6% -

Actual: Florida Gators +13 (85-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bradley * 36 3-10 1-2 7-7 1 6 0 0 2 14 9 -
B. Perry * 36 8-15 4-7 0-0 4 3 3 0 2 20 13 -
J. Crawford * 35 7-15 0-5 0-3 2 2 1 0 0 14 4 -
D. Jasper * 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
R. Morris * 18 5-6 0-0 3-6 2 1 1 1 3 13 9 -
J. Meeks 24 3-9 2-4 2-2 4 1 3 0 0 10 9 -
S. Thomas 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
L. Obrzut 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Porter 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Stevenson 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green * 36 6-11 3-4 2-2 2 5 1 0 3 17 11 -
L. Humphrey * 32 4-9 3-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 11 4 -
C. Brewer * 31 3-5 0-1 1-4 4 2 2 1 4 7 7 -
A. Horford * 30 6-7 0-0 2-6 10 2 1 3 2 14 21 -
J. Noah * 29 6-8 0-0 5-6 10 2 1 1 2 17 21 -
C. Richard 19 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 4 4 2 -
W. Hodge 15 5-5 3-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 15 10 -
D. Werner 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Speights 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Powell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Swanson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Mitchell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter