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Phoenix Mercury 92
@
Houston Comets 75
2007-06-30

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Houston Comets Spread Result
Elo 76.4% 23.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% - ✓
Margin 68.6% 31.4% -4.3 ✓ (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% - ✓

Actual: Houston Comets -17 (75-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Snell 30 4-7 2-4 1-2 3 3 3 0 2 11 11 -
K. Miller 29 5-8 0-0 3-3 7 7 1 0 1 13 19 -
T. Smith 22 5-13 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 11 3 -
K. Mazzante 21 6-9 3-4 0-0 3 3 3 0 3 15 12 -
J. Derevjanik 19 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -
K. Schumacher 18 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -
P. Taylor 16 11-21 2-7 2-2 3 4 2 0 3 26 11 -
C. Pondexter 10 4-5 1-1 4-6 0 3 0 0 0 13 11 -
J. Lacy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Maiga-Ba 29 1-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 2 -6 -
C. Smith 29 1-8 1-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 5 3 -2 -
T. Thompson 27 6-12 2-4 2-2 8 7 0 0 2 16 17 -
R. Hodges 19 6-14 3-8 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 17 3 -
S. Lyttle 18 6-9 0-0 2-2 6 5 1 0 2 14 15 -
M. Snow 17 6-13 0-0 0-5 8 1 0 0 0 12 8 -
T. Moore 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 4 -
B. Turner 6 1-3 1-2 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
L. Byears 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
M. Bass 4 1-2 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
A. Shields 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter