Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 35 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 29 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 27 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. DeForge | 26 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. White | 19 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Sam | 11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 36 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 11-12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| L. Whalen | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Dydek | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Jones | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| E. Maltsi | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. de Souza | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Carey | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Hairston | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter